H.L. Mencken on Human-Caused Climate Change

H.L. Mencken died in 1956 before all the puffery on global cooling morphing into global warming and now climate change, but this quote tells us pretty much what he would make of it if he were alive today:

    “Civilization, in fact, grows more and more maudlin and hysterical; especially under democracy it tends to degenerate into a mere combat of crazes; the whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, most of them imaginary.” —H.L. Mencken

Human caused climate change might give Mencken a twist on his thinking because the extraordinary popular delusions of times past usually affected the “unwashed masses” the most severely, but today it is some of the most sophisticated and highly educated among us who are deluding themselves, and trying to gather followers to be led into the abyss of ignorance.

The warmists goal is to keep the government money flowing to them. If they can’t show that the current climate is warming significantly from the past historical record, the money will stop. Thus, the data they show us is not real data, it is manipulated to give the result needed to keep the money coming.

Approximately 92% (or 99%) of USHCN* surface temperature data consists of estimated values.

Almost all Temperature data used in global warming models is estimated or altered

The first link above is to a highly technical piece by John Goetz. It’s full of charts that will buzz your brain. The bottom line is that while the United States is less than 7% of the earth’s land mass it contributes at least 92%, or perhaps 99%, of the data to the Global Historical Climatological Network, the entity that is supposedly keeping tract of global temperature changes. The data submitted isn’t data at all. It has been so consistently altered and “filled in” with blind estimates so that it is utterly useless for comparing present global temperatures to those of the historical past.  This is to make it appear that the earth’s present day range of temperatures greatly exceeds that of the past, and that human activity must be the cause.

Here are some abbreviations you will encounter if you read Mr. Goetz’s piece:

USHCN=U.S. Historical Climatological Network
GHCN=Global Historical Climatological Network
GISS=Goddard Institute for Space studies

The second link is to a blog post by John Hinderaker. It’s a discussion and analysis of John Goetz’s effort and is much easier for the non-scientific person to read. Hinderaker’s conclusion: This is, in my opinion, the greatest scandal in the history of science. Why do the alarmists, lavishly funded by the world’s governments, persistently alter the data before they feed it into their computer programs? Because the raw data won’t get them where they are trying to go, to keep the money flowing. No warming means no money. That is what fraud is always about in the end: money. Could someone please explain this to Pope Francis?

So it’s simple: Garbage is going in to the computers and garbage is coming out.  We also know a little more about computers. We know that sometimes even if garbage is not going in, even if actual data that is not fraudulently manipulated is going in, what comes out can still be garbage because of the machine epsilon problem. Computer models are simply not a good way to estimate the future if the future depends on the cumulative effect of lots of small changes.

The lately gone but always will be with us Yogi Berra used to say he never made predictions, especially about the future.

Barack Obama loves to tell us that the biggest threat we face is climate change. No, it isn’t. The biggest threat that Obama and his ilk face is that we will come to see that the emperor has no clothes on.

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