Last Wednesday, October 17th, Gallup had Romney up 6 points among likely voters in its 7-day tracking poll. The results for that poll as of today give Romney one more point:
Karl Rove said on Fox News last week that no Presidential candidate that had over 50% in Gallup’s poll of likely voters has ever gone on to lose the election. I wonder if any incumbent that was under 50% in mid-October ever won. I don’t think so.
There are fewer likely voters in Florida now since Governor Rick Scott has purged all the dead voters from the voter registration lists. I don’t know if Gallup has any way of accounting for that.
UPDATE: Rasmussen has Romney at +4 in its swing state poll released today with Romney at 50-46 over Obama. The swing states are Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. Together they all hold 146 Electoral College votes.
This chart shows Romney’s momentum: